With only six games left in the season, the battle for the third and fourth Champions League places could come down to the last game of the season. This is how the battle for third and fourth looks at the moment:
So who has the easiest schedule? Lets look at Arsenal’s Spurs’s Chelsea’s and Newcastle’s remaining games:
Wolves (a), Wigan (h), Chelsea (h), Stoke (a), Norwich (h), West Brom (a)
A pretty favorable run-in for the Gunners. Chelsea home and Stoke away are the two toughest matches, but you would expect them to pick up at least 14 points. Arsenal Final Total: 75
Norwich (h), QPR (a), Blackburn (h), Bolton (a), Aston Villa (a), Fulham (h)
By far the easiest fixture list of anyone in the top six. A couple of London derby’s in there, but it will be a surprise if Spurs does not pick up 15 points from these games. Spurs Final Total: 74 points
Chelsea have by far the hardest run in, especially when you add in an FA Cup semi-final and two games against Barcelona. With Arsenal and Liverpool away and Newcastle at home, it is hard to seeing Chelsea picking up more than 12 points here. Chelsea Final Total: 68 Points
Bolton (h), Stoke (h), Wigan (a), Chelsea (a), Man City (h), Everton (a)
Last three games are really tough, especially the away games to Chelsea and Everton. Hard to see Newcastle getting more than a point from their last three games. Newcastle Final Total: 66 points
So by my calculations Chelsea will finish fifth and will not be playing Champions League football next season. The one caveat to that, is that if they beat Spurs and Barcelona, that momentum might take them on an unbeaten run through the end of the season.
Agree or disagree with my calculations?